Cycling’s Crystal Ball: Reflecting on 2025’s Bold Predictions and What They Mean for 2026
Updated November 17, 2025, 02:26 AM
Predicting the unpredictable in cycling is a fool’s errand—or is it? Last January, I stepped into the ring with a set of bold predictions for the 2025 racing season. Some called them outrageous; I called them calculated risks. Now, as the dust settles on another year of Tadej Pogačar’s dominance, it’s time to revisit those forecasts and see where I hit the mark—and where I missed by a mile. But here’s where it gets controversial: did Pogačar’s reign make these predictions obsolete, or did they reveal cracks in his armor? Let’s dive in.
Prediction No. 1: Tom Pidcock Shocks the World at the Vuelta a España
Outcome: 3/5
Tom Pidcock has always been a rider of immense talent, but his 2025 season was a revelation. After a high-profile move to Q36.5, Pidcock seemed to find his stride, delivering standout performances like his AlUla Tour win and a gutsy second place at Strade Bianche. My prediction? He’d stun the world by winning the Vuelta. While he didn’t claim the top spot, his third-place finish was a breakthrough—and a sign of bigger things to come. But here’s the question: Can Pidcock truly challenge for a Grand Tour win, or is he destined to be a perennial contender?
Prediction No. 2: Tadej Pogačar Conquers Paris-Roubaix
Outcome: 4/5
When I suggested Pogačar would tackle—and nearly win—Paris-Roubaix, many thought I’d lost my mind. After all, no Tour de France favorite had dared the cobbles in their prime since the days of Hinault. Yet, Pogačar’s spectacular debut proved he’s not just a climber but a force of nature. A late mistake cost him the win, but his performance left no doubt: he’s capable of rewriting the rules. And this is the part most people miss: Pogačar’s willingness to take risks could redefine what’s possible in cycling.
Prediction No. 3: Chloé Dygert Dominates the Classics
Outcome: 2/5
Chloé Dygert’s raw power and resilience are undeniable. After her near-career-ending crash in 2019, her return to the peloton has been nothing short of miraculous. I predicted 2025 would be her year to dominate the classics, but it wasn’t meant to be. While she showed glimpses of brilliance—like her sixth-place finish at Milan-San Remo—consistency eluded her. Still, her potential remains untapped. Will 2026 finally be her year? Or is the road to classics glory steeper than we think?
Prediction No. 4: Pauline Ferrand-Prévot Brings France a Tour de France Win
Outcome: 5/5
Pauline Ferrand-Prévot’s 2025 campaign was nothing short of historic. After her Olympic gold in mountain biking, she set her sights on the yellow jersey—and delivered in her first attempt. Her move to Visma-Lease a Bike proved pivotal, providing the support she needed to dominate. But her double-win in the French Alps sparked controversy, with rivals accusing her of prioritizing performance over health. Love her or hate her, Ferrand-Prévot is a force to be reckoned with. The question now: Can she repeat the feat in 2026, or will the competition catch up?
Prediction No. 5: Primož Roglič Claims Tour de France Revenge
Outcome: 1/5
Ah, Roglič. The wildcard. The enigma. I believed 2025 would be his year to reclaim the yellow jersey, but fate had other plans. After a promising start with wins at Catalunya and the Giro, a crash derailed his season. At 36, his Tour de France window may be closing, especially with rising stars like Remco Evenepoel and Florian Lipowitz demanding the spotlight. Will Roglič find redemption at the Vuelta in 2026, or is his Grand Tour glory behind him?
Looking Ahead to 2026: What’s Next?
As we close the book on 2025, one thing is clear: cycling remains as unpredictable as ever. Pogačar’s dominance continues, but cracks are showing. Pidcock and Ferrand-Prévot are on the rise, while Dygert and Roglič face uncertain futures. But here’s the real question: What’s your bold prediction for 2026? Will Pogačar finally be dethroned? Can Pidcock win a Grand Tour? Share your thoughts in the comments—let’s spark some debate!
